National Futures and Financial Weekly
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June 23, 2017
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WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY, Raymond James Financial
Near-Term Fed Clarity, But Future Is Cloudy - the June 14 Fed policy decision was expected to overshadow the mid-month economic figures. Instead, the soft data reports contrasted with the relatively more upbeat central bank.
NEW EVIDENCE FOR A LOWER NEW NORMAL IN INTEREST RATES, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Interest rates during the current economic recovery have been unusually low. Some have argued that yields have been pushed down by declines in longer-run expectations of the normal inflation-adjusted short-term interest rate–that is, by a drop in the so-called equilibrium or natural rate of interest.
MUSINGS FROM THE OIL PATCH, Allen Brooks, PPHB
Rig Count Gains - From 22 Weeks Straight To Infinitely? - These increases have continued for 22 weeks, the longest consecutive streak of weekly rig count gains since 1987
WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY, First Standard Financial
As we see it, the Fed is about to accomplish its goal of hiking rates one more time this year. The June meeting marked the second-rate increase for the year, building evidence of the Fed’s determination to normalize rates, even if the economy is not cooperating fully.
GRAIN & LIVESTOCK HEDGING, Dan Morgan, VBI Co.
Last week cash cattle traded between $7 and $17 lower. Some were for two weeks out but if I had to put money on it I would just about bet that we are going to see the day when cattle feeders are going to start holding cattle and feeding them to heavier weights.
RAISE THE INFLATION TARGET AND PUT A DATE ON IT!, Pento Portfolio Strategies
Raise the Inflation Target and Put a Date on It! That’s the direction some high-profile economist and former members on the FOMC want to go. According to these academics, including Narayana Kocherlakota the former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis from 2009 to 2015, raising the inflation target just isn’t enough.
ANTICIPATING THE JUNE 1 CORN STOCKS ESTIMATE, University of Illinois
USDA’s release of the Quarterly grain Stocks report on June 30 will provide an estimate of corn stocks in storage as of June 1, 2017. Since many of the consumption categories for corn can be derived from data provided during the marketing year, this estimate provides the ability to calculate the magnitude of feed and residual use of corn during the third quarter.
INVESTMENT STRATEGY, Raymond James Financial
THEY!? It was always the ubiquitous THEY, those indefinable conspirators who would inevitably force he market to go the opposite way you were play it. THEY were the rumormongers who forced stock and commodity prices to fluctuate widely regardless of the economic climate.
COMMODITIES MARKET GUIDE, Danske Bank
Losing Out To The Steady Hand Of The Fed - Key Themes - In our previous Commodities Market Guide, we highlighted waning demand as a key concern for commodity markets. Since then, our concerns have materialised and should continue to influence price development into 2018.
SHORT TERM REVIEW, Walter Murphy Global Advisors
–Insights on US Equities
–Insights on Global Equities
–Insights on Interest Rates
SEASONAL OUTLOOK: THE WEATHER COMPANY SAYS EL NINO FAILS TO LAUNCH BUT SUBSEASONAL VARIABILITY IN U.S. LIKELY TO LIMIT SUSTAINED SUMMER HEAT IN EAST, WSI
In Its Latest U.S. Seasonal Forecast, The Weather Company Predicts Warmer-Than-Normal Temperatures In the Eastern Half Of The U.S. As Well As the Southwest
WEEKLY US OIL DATA REVIEW, DNB
1. This week’s reported US DOE oil stats - table and commentary
2. Brent price action on data release
3. Stocks of crude and refined products
THE WEEKLY RE-LAY, INSIIDE Track Trading
--Nasdaq 100 Validating June 6th Sell Signal;
--Bonds & Notes Nearing Upside Targets…
--Gold & Silver Drop into June 20th Cycle Low;
--Bitcoin Confirming Early-June Cycle Peak.
THE GOODS, BMO Capital Markets
Commodity Index U-Turns In May, Index eluding a trend as crude oil prices continue to seesaw
The BMO Capital Markets Commodity Price Index dropped 2.8% to a six-month low in May, reversing the prior month’s gain.
COMMODITY FUTURES FORECAST WEEKLY REPORT, Philip Gotthelf
Mexico Will Pay For Wall - On August 4th, 2016 I dedicated my SPECIAL REPORT to the "Trump Wall." I made the case for constructing a solar structure that would be capable of generating megawatts of electricity that would be available to the U.S. and Mexico. I stated:
STOCKMARKET CYCLES, Peter Eliades
The Cycles - In our last report published on May 7 we told our readers that May 11 was a potentially important cycle date based on a George Lindsay bottom to bottom to top cycle count.
Leading Economic Index For The U.S. by The Conference Board
Monthly New Residential Sales May 2017 by U.S. Department of Commerce
Cattle On Feed by U.S. Department of Agriculture
Livestock Slaughter by U.S. Department of Agriculture
Cold Storage Stocks by U.S. Department of Agriculture
Weekly Petroleum Status Report by U.S. Department Of Energy
This Week In Petroleum by U.S. Department Of Energy
Crop Progress by U.S. Department of Agriculture
Export Sales by U.S. Department of Agriculture
Weekly Jobless Claims by U.S. Department of Labor
CONSENSUS Report of Commitments of Traders
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